Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.716747 3.958867 4.216078 4.510923 4.841144 5.201451 5.626880
2025-10-12 3.377502 3.724512 4.115419 4.593582 5.170087 5.852761 6.738198
2025-10-19 3.165360 3.571638 4.047800 4.657495 5.433669 6.413216 7.786647
2025-10-26 2.987794 3.429356 3.962576 4.670060 5.611082 6.863993 8.746444
2025-11-02 2.811220 3.267982 3.832112 4.601410 5.660825 7.134716 9.484735
2025-11-09 2.644169 3.103859 3.681557 4.486522 5.626443 7.271005 10.030649
2025-11-16 2.518675 2.983035 3.576037 4.419183 5.645445 7.478664 10.718869
2025-11-23 2.445393 2.924013 3.545881 4.449831 5.804256 7.913396 11.879691
2025-11-30 2.374495 2.863115 3.507747 4.463558 5.935258 8.316715 13.076350
2025-12-07 2.259703 2.737603 3.373579 4.327345 5.819386 8.289525 13.415031
2025-12-14 2.165069 2.635078 3.265883 4.222583 5.743123 8.319450 13.878338
2025-12-21 2.101881 2.572417 3.210444 4.191459 5.781471 8.555176 14.851296
2025-12-28 2.050321 2.525359 3.177162 4.195507 5.884702 8.937168 16.322858
2026-01-04 2.021420 2.508574 3.186469 4.266144 6.108606 9.589089 18.753854
2026-01-11 1.990557 2.487265 3.187420 4.322640 6.312598 10.237932 21.520111
2026-01-18 1.949587 2.449608 3.161853 4.333754 6.434648 10.735838 24.124951
2026-01-25 1.892590 2.386696 3.095410 4.272985 6.416347 10.918718 25.768405
2026-02-01 1.828541 2.311478 3.007349 4.171133 6.311042 10.885373 26.598674
2026-02-08 1.778700 2.255372 2.946238 4.111343 6.282053 11.029774 28.263429
2026-02-15 1.753063 2.233694 2.936807 4.138564 6.425897 11.622358 32.392696
2026-02-22 1.725236 2.207747 2.919489 4.150751 6.540364 12.165576 36.924867
2026-03-01 1.667850 2.136358 2.828720 4.029693 6.370793 11.926825 36.950880
2026-03-08 1.619350 2.077089 2.755333 3.936398 6.253367 11.817624 37.749629